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Colossus – The Rise and Fall of the American Empire, Niall Ferguson, Penguin Books, 2004, 20 pounds (UK). Reviewed by Phil Hearse

Niall Ferguson’s book and TV series Empire argued the case for the immensely progressive role of the British Empire. His new book (and TV series) follows up with a staunch defense of American empire, together with a prediction that it is likely to fail, because modern Americans lack the imperial spirit and virtues formerly displayed by the British. More precisely, his argument can be summarised as follows:


 * America is of course an empire, like Britain and Rome before it, but it is caught in hypocritical self-denial.
 * American empire (and imperialism in general) is a good thing; it helps economic development, and American ‘liberal’ empire is likely to bring peace and democracy as well.
 * For American imperialism to work properly, ‘arms length’ control is insufficient for proper military domination, and totally inadequate for nation building. Empire needs American soldiers and administrators across the world. He quotes Seneca, “Wheresoever the Roman conquers, he inhabits.”
 * A properly functioning empire of this kind is unlikely because of a) the hypocritical denial of the US’s imperial role b) the fact that top American graduates all want to become successful business people and lead comfortable middle class lives at home c) the American army is just too small d) Americans are still just too squeamish about military casualties and e) the US is facing a financial crunch in the next decade or so, as the baby boomers reach retirement and demand lavish Medicare and pensions, damn them!

Ferguson has got a lot of rave reviews in the right-wing US and British media, and makes his argument the more dramatic by taking it to its logical, and totally absurd, conclusion. But it is unlikely that any influential people in the US foreign policy or military elite take his arguments very seriously. The idea that the United States could embark on the construction of a vast territorial empire, with multiple colonies directly ruled by Washington, is a recipe for economic, political and military suicide by the world’s major capitalist power.


You don’t have to be a genius to see why this is the case. Occupation of Iraq is becoming increasingly damaging at home and abroad; imagine the effects of 20 simultaneous Iraqs! The political impossibility of such a wild adventure boils down to this: colonial rule has already existed in the world, it was gradually defeated and is now utterly discredited among the vast majority of the world’s population.


The entire political history of the 20th Century cannot be undone by the wave of Ferguson’s polemical wand. Any clear-sighted America political or military leader must surely say Ferguson’s proposal is a recipe for revolution abroad and political uproar at home, which would make the difficult 1960s look like a tea party.


In any case, Ferguson misunderstands the purpose of American imperialism, its relatively successful current mode of operation (despite Iraq), and therefore what its optimum mode of functioning is for achieving its own very narrowly defined objectives, which are not at all the same as Ferguson’s.


How does Ferguson come to such extreme conclusions? His key chapter is entitled “The Case for Liberal Empire”, which starts with the proposition that the experiment with decolonisation and national independence has ‘failed’. The obvious fact that crisis in the third world since de-colonisation has been caused by continued and deepening economic plunder by world imperialism escapes Ferguson. For him, it is simply that the natives have been unable to rule themselves.
In the second half of the 20th century:


“..the world embarked on an epochal experiment, an experiment to test the hypothesis that it was imperialism that caused both poverty and wars and that self-determination would ultimately pave the way to prosperity and peace. That hypothesis has been largely proved false. The coming of political independence has brought prosperity to only a minority of former colonies. And although former imperial powers no longer fight one another, decolonisation has in many cases been followed by recurrent conflict between newly independent states and, even more often, within them.” (p173).


Not only that, former colonies have often been economic failures and ruled by brutal dictatorships. And it is “not convincing” to blame the problems of ex-colonies or their former masters. Surely there has been enough time to get thing going by now?


This list of arguments, careful readers will note, does not answer the question he poses for himself – why has the experiment with national independence ‘failed’?
Ferguson then has another stab at an answer (pp176-199): partly economic development has been affected by unfair trade, and for this the former colonies can be blamed, for example because of the EU’s protectionist agricultural policy. But that is not the key thing, the real reason is political:


“Most poor countries stay poor because they lack the right institutions – not least the right institutions to encourage investment. Because they are not accountable to their subjects, autocratic regimes are more prone to corruption than those in which is the rule of law is well established. Corruption in turn inhibits economic development…Moreover, poor countries are more likely to succumb to civil wars than rich one making them poorer still. In the absence of nonviolent means of bringing dictators to account, political violence is more likely to occur.” (p181)


Ferguson doesn’t explain what it is that has inhibited these backward children in the ex-colonies from behaving like proper liberal-democratic grown-ups. This is territory into which Ferguson doesn’t stray, because the racist underpinnings of it are glaringly obvious.


This brings us to the second central assumption of the book. Not everything, he tells us, was good about colonialism. But in its British version, which generally promoted free trade and free movement of labour, everything turned out for the best in the best of all possible worlds! The British made money (lots of it), but in doing so they dragged up the pitifully low standard of living of the natives. It also brought education and enlightenment, generally in the form of Christianity. This promoted literacy, which further advanced local economies. The original motivation may have been vulgar trade, but as the brightest and best from the British universities trooped out to police, administer and do trade with India, the Antipodes, the Caribbean, Africa, Burma and the rest, the white man (and occasional woman) assumed the role of educator and law giver, patronising aunt and uncle, heart set on all-round improvement of the locals.


If you believe this version of the British Empire, it should be said, you will believe almost anything. People who think that the British empire was grounded on something other than economic self-interest and exploitation don’t know anything about how the world works. Britain’s Empire was built on industrialisation and the Royal Navy. The former was built on the vast proceeds of the slave trade and the development of the cotton industry, which among other things, required the destruction of the Indian domestic textiles industry, and the raw cotton from the plantations in the southern United States – which in turn were amply provided with Africans slaves by the British.


Ferguson is just blind to the vast levels of exploitation, violence and political repression which kept the natives in their place. His version of the British Empire is a historical myth, and his version of the enlightened character of the US Empire is a myth as well.
Ferguson’s complaint that US graduates want to be mainly home-based company CEOs and not district administrators in some sun-scorched desert region is absolutely symptomatic of what he doesn’t understand. And that is that the United States is a business state, the most completely devoted business state in history. Its elite is interested in making profits from world economic domination. Not only is vast military power compatible with business objectives, it is absolutely vital to ensuring a world open to US business interests.


From time to time the US may see the advent of Western-style liberal democracy in a particular country useful, or at least useful to advocate. But the US is absolutely not engaged in a campaign for US- or British-style liberal democracy on a world scale. Its judgement on these things is solely pragmatic; what’s the best for our own interests. From time to time (as has occurred over China and other Asian countries) what kind of political system or human rights regime to advocate is a matter of dispute within the political elite; but the basic principles are clear. And if it means supporting dicatorships, so be it.


Serious US political and military leaders are generally agreed on how to deploy military and political power to ensure US hegemony. On the military front this means dominance of the seas, the maintenance of hundreds of foreign bases, topped off with covert operations, massive superiority over all competitors and just the occasional massive use of force as in Iraq (twice), Panama and Granada. It is not the permanent use of the military machine that makes it effective, but the worldwide understanding of what it can do when it is unleashed. This does not involve, and cannot do, permanent occupation of dozens of countries.
Ferguson’s arguments about why the US is likely not to become an effective empire of occupation are interesting. First is the contemptuous condemnation of all those graduates who want comfortable lives at home as business executives instead of administering a colonial empire.


That Ferguson could even argue such a thing shows his complete divorce from reality. Neoliberalism in America has massively polarised wealth, and the 1980s boom reinforced the ranks of the petty bourgeoisie. In the business elite there are millions of salaried professionals who have substantial wealth, not just high salaries but wealth in houses, bonds and stocks, and these people enjoy a standard of living undreamt of in the 1950s and’60s. They are a fundamental factor in US politics, a substantial base of reaction, and their consumption drives a considerable part of the economy. Being a professional in business, or a law firm, or some sort of well-paid government service, is open to the most talented graduates. They will absolutely not be diverted into picking up the white man’s burden of administering empire. Their social situation is substantially different to the hundreds of thousands who went out to administer the British Empire, who had far fewer career opportunities at home. And they expect the American military machine and the power of US corporations to maintain their world position; they do not expect to personally get their pants dirty in a jungle or desert.


Ferguson is contemptuous too of US public opinion and the interests of senior citizens. Like young executives they too have gone soft, wanting empire without the necessary sacrifices of dead in battle and the curtailment of social security rights. Too much Hollywood, not enough Sparta to run a real empire!
In the end though, Ferguson has put his finger on a long-term problem. Fulfilling American ambitions requires global reach and clout. It needs an empire that can enforce its will worldwide. It does need to function like an ersatz world government, at least at the level of setting the limits of what others can do. That is the problem. The US military cannot be everywhere at once. US intelligence, high tech driven and – despite recent events at the CIA – with a high level of motivation, cannot be all-seeing and all-knowing. There are huge social, political and cultural spaces that the US Empire cannot penetrate or dominate, where resistance will grow. Only in the subtitle of his book does Ferguson show any real historical insight – The Rise and Fall of the American Empire.